High-Conviction Picks
Companies with the strongest cross-signal scores (70+) across all signal types — convergence, divergence, and cluster buy. These represent the highest-conviction detections from SEC filing analysis.
Why This Matters
A score of 70+ indicates that multiple independent signals — insider activity, institutional positioning, and fundamental metrics — are simultaneously aligned. This level of cross-signal agreement is relatively rare and represents the strongest patterns detectable from public filings, combining signal strength, directional alignment, and fundamental support.
- -Currently tracking 16 high-conviction signals (score 70+)
Highest-Conviction Signals (Score 70+)
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR filings (Form 4, 13F, 10-K/10-Q). All filings are public domain. Scores and rankings are for informational purposes only.
| # | Company | Score | Signal Type | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MNRMACH NATURAL RESOURCES LP | 77 | Cluster Buy | Mar 20, 2026 |
| 2 | RLIRLI Corp. | 75 | Cluster Buy | May 19, 2026 |
| 3 | GSHDGoosehead Insurance, Inc. | 75 | Cluster Buy | May 14, 2026 |
| 4 | FRPTFreshpet | 75 | Cluster Buy | May 8, 2026 |
| 5 | GEHCGE HealthCare | 75 | Cluster Buy | May 1, 2026 |
| 6 | ZBIOZenas BioPharma, Inc. | 75 | Cluster Buy | Mar 31, 2026 |
| 7 | XZOExzeo Group, Inc. | 75 | Cluster Buy | Mar 9, 2026 |
| 8 | GOGrocery Outlet | 75 | Cluster Buy | Mar 6, 2026 |
| 9 | PRUPrudential Financial | 75 | Cluster Buy | Jan 23, 2026 |
| 10 | SHAKShake Shack, Inc. | 72 | Cluster Buy | May 15, 2026 |
| 11 | BMIBadger Meter, Inc. | 72 | Cluster Buy | Feb 5, 2026 |
| 12 | MTDRMatador Resources | 70 | Cluster Buy | May 27, 2026 |
| 13 | BSXBoston Scientific | 70 | Cluster Buy | May 19, 2026 |
| 14 | GABCGERMAN AMERICAN BANCORP, INC. | 70 | Cluster Buy | Mar 17, 2026 |
| 15 | LOARLoar Holdings Inc. | 70 | Cluster Buy | Mar 12, 2026 |
| 16 | NRGVEnergy Vault Holdings, Inc. | 70 | Cluster Buy | Feb 27, 2026 |
What Makes a High-Conviction Signal?
A signal score of 70 or above indicates strong alignment across multiple data sources. For convergence signals, this means significant insider buying, meaningful institutional accumulation, and improving fundamentals all occurring simultaneously. These high-scoring signals are relatively rare and represent the strongest patterns detectable from public SEC filings.
Insider trading data from SEC EDGAR Form 4 filings. Institutional holdings from quarterly 13F filings. Financial fundamentals from 10-K and 10-Q filings. All data is public domain and does not constitute investment advice.
Signal Score Methodology
Each signal receives a score from 0 to 100 based on the following components. Only signals scoring 40 or above are shown. Scores are computed from public SEC filing data and are for informational purposes only.
Number of unique insiders purchasing shares (Form 4). More buyers = higher score.
Net new institutional buyers from 13F filings. More net buyers = higher score.
Revenue growth (YoY) and profit margin from 10-K/10-Q filings.
Minimum display threshold: 40/100. Data sources: SEC Form 4 (insider trades), 13F (institutional holdings), 10-K/10-Q (fundamentals). All data is public domain.
Signal Types
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Frequently Asked Questions
What are smart money signals?
Smart money signals are cross-referencing indicators that combine multiple SEC filing data sources — insider trading (Form 4), institutional holdings (13F), and financial fundamentals (10-K/10-Q) — to identify stocks where well-informed investors are acting with conviction. When insiders, institutions, and financial metrics all point in the same direction, it may indicate meaningful information about a company's prospects.
How are smart money signals calculated?
Signals are computed by combining three independent data sources from SEC EDGAR: (1) insider buying/selling from Form 4 filings (last 30 days), (2) institutional ownership changes from 13F filings (quarterly), and (3) fundamental metrics from 10-K/10-Q filings (revenue growth, profit margins). Each signal type has a score from 0-100 based on the strength and alignment of these factors.
How often are smart money signals updated?
The underlying data updates at different frequencies: insider trading data (Form 4) is typically filed within 2 business days of a transaction, institutional holdings (13F) are filed quarterly within 45 days of quarter end, and financial fundamentals update with each quarterly earnings filing. Signal calculations run regularly to incorporate the latest available data.
What does a convergence signal mean?
A convergence signal indicates that corporate insiders are buying shares, institutional investors are increasing their positions, and the company's financial fundamentals are improving — all at the same time. This triple-positive alignment from three independent sources suggests broad agreement among well-informed parties that the stock offers value.
Should I buy stocks based on smart money signals?
No. Smart money signals are informational tools, not investment recommendations. While they highlight interesting patterns in SEC filing data, they should be one of many inputs in your research process. Insider selling can have innocent explanations, institutional moves may lag reality by 45+ days, and past patterns do not predict future returns. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.